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January 11th - Midday Market Commentary

January 11th - Midday Market Commentary

Grains are higher at midday:

Mar Corn + 1 ½ cents/bu (6.01 ¼ )

Mar Soybeans + 2 ¾ cents/bu (13.87 ½  )

Mar Chi Wheat + 8 cents/bu (7.70 )

Cdn $ +0.00575 (79.43 cents)

WTI Crude Oil +3.28/barrel (81.51)

Grains started the day session under pressure, with soybean futures trading down 9 cents/bu at the opening bell.   However, buying soon surfaced, taking grains higher on the day, with corn trading up as much as 5 cents/bu, soybeans up- as much as 10 cents/bu, and Chicago wheat up as much as 9 cents/bu.  With a massive USDA “data dump” on the way tomorrow, traders are reluctant to push the market too far in any direction.

This morning, the USDA did confirm a Flash Export Sale for 100,000 tonnes of soybeans to Mexico for the 2021/22 marketing year.

The USDA will release a myriad of reports tomorrow in it’s January Supply and Demand Reports/Quarterly Stocks Reports.  The greatest focus will be paid to the following:

  1. Scope of South American production losses due to drought
  2. Potential surprises in the USA Quarterly Stocks numbers
  3. Whether the USDA reduces projected US soybean exports

A snapshot of analyst expectations for tomorrow’s reports are listed below:


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